Skip to main content
Skip to main content

Developed Countries

Our Chart Of The Week comes from Melanie Kermadjian, from our Global Investment Strategy team. The S&P 500 has been in a bull market for nearly five years and is currently up 2.5% YTD. A lot has been thrown at the US stock market so far this year, yet for the…
Our Emerging Market strategists published a follow-up piece to their Bessenomics note where they assess the new Treasury Secretary plan’s impact on markets. Lower interest rates are central to Bessenomics. The Trump administration is expected to pressure the…

Europe is about to become President Trump’s next target. The good news: a US/EU trade war will be short as common ground to achieve a deal exists. The bad news: European assets remain at the mercy of heightened uncertainty. How should investors position themselves in this tricky context?

Some thoughts on this morning's employment data and Treasury Secretary Bessent's recent attempts to talk down the 10-year Treasury yield.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent commented that one of the Trump administration’s priority was lowering 10-year bond yields. Bessent’s 3/3/3 plan, boosting growth to 3% from deregulation, increasing US oil production by 3 mmb/d, and slashing the budget…
The Bank of England cut its policy rate by 25 bps to 4.5%, with two members of the MPC voting to cut 50 bps instead. The BoE acknowledged “substantial progress on disinflation”, driven by a tight policy stance and stabilized inflation expectations. The dovish…
Preliminary nonfarm labor productivity for Q4 came in line with estimates, decreasing to 1.2% annualized growth from an upwardly-revised 2.3%. Unit labor costs growth was lower than expected, but still jumped to 3.0% from a downwardly revised 0.5% in Q3.…
Our Private Markets & Alternatives strategists published their 2025 capital market assumptions (CMAs). The 2025 edition features several enhancements such as deal-level projections, refined methodologies, and expanded coverage. Private Equity return…

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for January 2025.

The US High-Quality (USHQ) portfolio slightly outperformed in January, returning 3.4%, whilst its SPY benchmark returned 2.9%. That said, we think the USHQ portfolio will have a solid run through the first half of 2025, benefitting from rising market risk on the back of President Trump’s tariff agenda. USHQ’s underlying Quality and Safety Score factor tilts will be increasingly favored as market uncertainty grows.